Sunday, May 15, 2011

Rating the FedEx 400 benefiting Autism Speaks: 2 Stars **

For the second straight week, a gamble on a late-race caution brought an unexpected winner to Victory Lane. This week’s winner, Matt Kenseth, wasn’t as unexpected as Darlington-winner Regan Smith, but similar strategy won him the race. Unfortunately, that was the most interesting part of a race that gets a 2 Star Rating.

Kenseth made a bold call on the final caution and it looked like there would be a heck of a battle to the finish, but the race’s three dominators, Jimmie Johnson, Carl Edwards and Clint Bowyer, couldn’t come back through the field and Kenseth quickly got around Mark Martin and drove off into the sunset for a relatively uncontested victory.

Sunday’s race was actually pretty typical of Dover. The few cars that really hit the setup were able to jump to the lead and stay there as the three dominators led a combined 353 of the 400 laps. Johnson, Edwards, Jeff Gordon and others have done the same thing in the past. Sometimes that’s just the way it is at Dover for whatever reason.

Not every race is going to be thrilling the way several have been already this season, and the long green-flag runs and the opportunity for different strategies to come into play late in the race made things interesting, but I think the fans would’ve gotten more of a kick out of a three-way battle among Johnson, Edwards and Bowyer for the win rather than Kenseth driving away from everybody.

The unexpected weather also affected the racing. When a cloudy day was forecast, and much worse weather actually was called for, many cars likely had a setup under the car that did not anticipate sunshine and warm weather. With that type of weather, the track was much more slick than expected and many drivers really had to fight their cars throughout the day, and that often limits the amount of hard racing that can be done.

In the big picture, Kenseth and the #17 team are all of a sudden basically locked into the Chase, barring a major meltdown, and that certainly seems unlikely with the way the Fords have been running this season. The win bumped Kenseth up four spots in the standings and gave him two wins on the year, so even if he falls out of the top 10 in points, he still has a very good shot at getting one of the two wild card spots.

For the first time in several weeks, everybody remained relatively calm and a pair of drivers didn’t have to meet with NASCAR after the race. That’s good, because the chances of that happening next weekend are as high as there will be for a race this season.

The All-Star race is next up on the schedule and a bunch of things will be on the line in a race that doesn’t even count in the season standings. The drivers will be battling for a big check in Victory Lane, and some might end up battling each other to either attempt to settle an old score, or settle a new one.

Either way, the All-Star race is shaping up to potentially be one of the best ever. That’s saying something with the way some of those races go. Enjoy a week where points don’t matter. It’s the last time that will happen this season.

6 comments:

  1. I agree... This was the least enjoyable race of the season. I actually nodded off late in the festivities and was very pleased when I woke up to find the two guys who led most of the way making a racing decision that blew up in the faces and neither made it to victory lane. The Chase was tightened up as a result :)

    Thanks jmayer!

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  2. Exactly...ho hum. Did you see that CMS is offering to pay the fines for anyone that fights during the all star race? LOL

    I was really hoping Ambrose would pull off the win but other than that not a lot to cheer for. On to next week!

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  3. Kenseth wins boring races! LOL

    There was a lot going on at Dover on Sunday.... the weather... the tire build up... the late race pit strategy. The on track action had to much aero push to be very exciting.

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  4. it seemed that whenever someone got their car sideways, that was it...they went backwards (Ambrose in particular, looked capable of passing Vader and Carl, got loose and faded back until that final stop).

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  5. Dwindy1 - That's a couple of times lately decisions have gone wrong for the #48 team. That doesn't happen often.
    Thanks!

    klvalus - Ha! Nothing like adding fuel to the fire, lol.
    Thanks!

    Gene - Kind of fits that persona he has. He won the most boring championship too, lol. But, he's a darn good driver. One of the best, for sure.
    Thanks!

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  6. tezgm99 - It was nice to see Ambrose have such a good run, though. The upcoming tracks will probably be good ones for that team, so maybe their season is starting to get on track.
    Thanks!

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